Reeves warned UK inflation will push public sector unions to seek higher pay rises

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Rachel Reeves has been warned public sector unions will demand higher pay increases to compensate for accelerating inflation, heaping pressure on the chancellor to find billions of pounds in extra funding.The government made recommendations in December for a 2.8% pay rise for teachers, NHS staff and other public sector workers for the financial year beginning in April, saying it was a “reasonable amount” given forecasts for the economy.However, inflation is expected to rise by more than anticipated amid a renewed squeeze on the cost of living for households.Figures this week are expected to show inflation climbed to 2.

8% in January from 2.5% in December, and the Bank of England says inflation will keep rising towards 3.7% this year.Unions are awaiting reports from the various independent pay review bodies for the public sector, which could accept the government’s suggested increase, or recommend higher settlements.Paul Nowak, the general secretary of the TUC, said: “Our unions will be arguing that it needs to be more.

But crucially, it needs to be more, not just this year, but there needs to be that route map for the future.”The head of the trade union movement in England and Wales said rising inflation meant workers were facing deeper real-terms pay cuts.“I think our unions will be making that point very clearly,” he said.Rachel Harrison, GMB national secretary, said the proposed 2.8% increase was “already pushing it” after years of austerity.

“If inflation rises more than expected it simply won’t be enough,”Labour made settling public sector pay disputes one of its first priorities in government, to end rolling strikes that had crippled the economy under the Conservatives,Reeves agreed above-inflation increases averaging 5,5% for public sector workers last year,But the National Education Union (NEU), which represents teachers, is carrying out an indicative ballot of its members from 1 March to ask if they would support potential industrial action over pay.

Daniel Kebede, the NEU’s general secretary, said a 2,8% pay rise was inadequate,“It will be another real-terms pay cut, compounding the damage caused by years of pay cuts under the Conservatives,”At the time of the government’s pay recommendation in December, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) was forecasting inflation would average about 2,6% in the coming financial year.

However, the Treasury watchdog is expected to increase its prediction for inflation when it next publishes forecasts on 26 March alongside the chancellor’s spring statement,It is also widely expected to downgrade its growth forecasts, which could set the chancellor on course to bust her self-imposed fiscal rules,The Treasury has made clear Reeves would make cuts to her spending plans rather than allow that to happen,Reports from the pay review bodies are expected to start arriving on ministers’ desks in April, before Reeves’s 11 June spending review,Nowak said higher pay was needed to help the government meet its pledge to fix broken services.

“Holding down the pay of public sector workers isn’t going to help resolve the fact that we have got 160,000 staff vacancies in the NHS, a recruitment and retention crisis in our classrooms, prisons that are desperately overcrowded.”Sharon Graham, the general secretary of Unite, said ministers “hiding behind discredited pay review bodies” to suppress pay would only make problems with staff recruitment and retention worse.“The government urgently needs to invest in the public sector workforce,” she said.The latest official figures show annual growth in average earnings across the economy was 5.6% in the three months to November.

But while Threadneedle Street predicts this will slow, it still expects average annual pay growth to average about 3.7% this year.Every 0.5% increase above 2.8% costs the NHS in England about £700m, meaning an increase matching the inflation peak forecast by the Bank would cost the government almost £1.

4bn more than it is budgeting for,Labour has sought to prioritise driving efficiency gains as part of the spending review, with Reeves promising to apply a “relentless commitment to rooting out waste”,A government spokesperson said: “it is vital that pay awards are fair for both workers and the taxpayer, so that we can deliver mission-led, high-quality services across the country,“The independent pay review body process is in place to ensure that pay awards are fair to our critical public sector staff, and to British taxpayers,We will consider their recommendations carefully.

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Rachel Roddy’s recipe for hazelnut and mushroom ragu with pasta | A kitchen in Rome

“Antica e desueta [archaic and forgotten] is a beguiling introduction to a recipe,” I said to my friend, the cook and writer Stefano Arturi, when we talked on the phone the other week. He laughed, noting that those words in relation to recipes made him both curious and, because of their foggy closeness to mythologising, suspicious.It was his recipe for hazelnut ragu that started it all, sending us down more or less the same paths in books and online, where we met more of the same thing: fabulously contradictory stories in which ragu made from hazelnuts was an ancient Piedmontese dish of great beauty born out of economy and hardship, and also “forgotten”, which justifies the lack of any evidence as to where it actually came from. Yet also, a breezy, contemporary dish that, like so many modern dishes, was scorned by those faithful to more traditional (ancient, authentic) versions. There were other claims, too, such as “This is the authentic recipe” and “This is an improvisational dish: do as you wish”

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Pappardelle alla Yorkshire? Gourmet producers inspire a boom in British pasta

The UK imports more than £1bn worth of the Italian staple a year, but now sales are taking off for makers in Yorkshire, Cumbria and beyondNutty, chewy and with a chestnut-brown hue, it’s a far cry from the pasta you may be used to serving with your bolognese. But the Northern Pasta Co’s products, from rigatoni to fusilli, are part of a growing wave of the Italian staple being made in the UK.The Cumbria-based company’s sales increased 357% in the year to February 2024, and from the spring its products will be sold on Ocado. Similarly, the Yorkshire Pasta Company, founded in 2019, is now stocked at more than 600 shops. Cornwall Pasta Co makes flavoured pastas, while Riverford sells pasta made by the Fresh Flour Company in Devon

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Notes on chocolate: mini eggs are major fun

Mini eggs have such a special place in our hearts and mouths. I’ve heard of them getting people through exams, divorce, long train journeys, sickbeds. When I say mini eggs I mean a sugar-coated, egg-shaped confection containing chocolatey things.Marks & Spencer does an acceptable ‘every day’ version for £2 a bag (Speckled Eggs). If you want to go posh, then you cannot better Chocolate Detective’s Blue Tit Eggs (go for the praline version), £14

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Putting Mumbai on the menu: Dishoom’s founders in the city that inspired them

The team behind the much-loved restaurants explore the places that inspired their ‘Bombay comfort food’ dishesWhen Shamil Thakrar talks about Bombay, he has a favourite word: palimpsest, “something reused or altered but still bearing visible traces of its earlier form”. In fact, Shamil has been (fondly) banned from using it by his cousin Kavi, with whom he co-founded Dishoom, the hugely successful group of Bombay-inspired restaurants, 15 years ago.But palimpsest is an apt word to describe Bombay – or Mumbai, as it is known internationally – the port city on India’s west coast, where multicultural influences eternally trickle in without erasing the layers of what came before. Two eras of imperial rule, two waves of Persian migration, a Hindu majority and a large Muslim community, people from every Indian state, language and ethnicity rubbing shoulders with one another, Maharatis, Gujaratis, Punjabis, Goans; 19th-century gothic architecture alongside art deco, neoclassical opposite mid-century, and the onward march of new development along every major road. And it is absolutely its own place, of itself: “Everything has coalesced here and become ‘Bombayified’,” says Shamil, as we wander around Colaba, the southernmost tip of the old city

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Wine: fantastic specialities from Australia and New Zealand

Neudorf Rosie’s Block Moutere Chardonnay, Nelson, New Zealand 2022 (from £34.99, tauruswines.co.uk; bowlandforestvintners.co

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Don’t Tell Dad: ‘It’s a class act’ – restaurant review

Don’t Tell Dad, 10-14 Lonsdale Road, London NW6 6RD. Snacks and small plates £5-£14, large plates £18-£29, desserts £9, wines from £36Don’t Tell Dad in London’s Queen’s Park is a self-declared neighbourhood restaurant in a knowingly dishevelled neighbourhood. It sits on a part-cobbled, mews-style lane which was once home to stable blocks and very much looks like it. If you want to snoop at the red-rust frontage on Google Street View, however, you can’t. It’s a private street, through which Google’s cars may never pass